BTC 15M Predictor

BTC15M

CONNECTING

Layout mode: drag cards by the dotted handle, use 1×/2×/3× to change width, and drag the bottom edge to change height. Cards snap into the dashboard grid automatically. Layout is saved on this device.

BITCOIN / USD

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0 feeds • WAITING FOR SPOT —

PRICE LOCK — backup — REST check —

NEXT 15 MINUTES

WARMING UP

ACTION FLAG

CALCULATING

—SIGNAL

Waiting for enough live data.

UP —

DOWN —

FLAT —

LIKELY PRICE—

80% RANGE—

EXPECTED MOVE—

CONFIDENCE—

MARKET STATE—

UP vs DOWN EDGE—

DATA QUALITY—

15-MINUTE TARGET PRICE

Will BTC finish above or below this price?

SET TARGET

TARGET UNLOCKED

Set a target to hard-lock it.

ABOVE TARGET—

BELOW TARGET—

MOST LIKELY—

PROBABILITY EDGE—

TARGET—

MOVE NEEDED—

DISTANCE NOW—

Enter a BTC price to calculate the probability that the 15-minute forecast finishes above or below it.

MINI PRICE PATH • 15M WINDOW

Ballpark checkpoints toward the real close

LIVE

3 MIN——

5 MIN——

7 MIN——

9 MIN——

11 MIN——

CURRENT MINUTE—

PROJECTED 15M CLOSE—

PATH BIAS—

Future checkpoint prices are intentionally ballpark estimates, not exact ticks. Past checkpoints switch to observed prices when available.

15M TRAJECTORY MODEL

ELAPSED—

REMAINING—

REAL-WORLD 15M CLOSE —

START—

5 MIN—

10 MIN—

13 MIN—

REQUIRED VELOCITY—

RECENT VELOCITY—

WEIGHTED VELOCITY CLOSE—

LINEAR REGRESSION CLOSE—

ACCELERATION CLOSE—

COMBINED MATH CLOSE—

MATH WEIGHT IN FINAL TARGET MODEL —

KALSHI BTC 15M SCALP ENGINE

Searching KXBTC15M…

—

API host —

CONNECTING

KALSHI TARGET—

REAL CLOSE—

ABOVE / UP

Kalshi bid—

Kalshi ask—

Our fair probability—

Net model edge—

BELOW / DOWN

Kalshi bid—

Kalshi ask—

Our fair probability—

Net model edge—

SCALP SIGNAL

SEARCHING

Waiting for the live Kalshi market and our target probability.

BEST SIDE—

NET EDGE—

ASK / ENTRY—

EST. FEE / CONTRACT—

MIN EDGE PTS STRONG EDGE PTS TAKE PROFIT % STOP LOSS % CONTRACTS

KALSHI RELAY URL (OPTIONAL)

The app first tries the bundled same-origin relay at /api/kalshi. Direct Kalshi API is only a fallback because browsers may block it with CORS.

Signal-only integration: this browser does not store a Kalshi private API key or submit orders. Track the price you actually paid so HOLD / TAKE PROFIT / EXIT uses a real entry basis.

10-MINUTE ENTRY DECISION

Final 5-minute ABOVE / BELOW call

BUILDING DATA

CALCULATING

The bot waits until roughly minute 10 so the trajectory, learned cases, velocity, order flow, and target distance have enough information.

DECISION IN—

SIDE PROBABILITY—

ENTRY STRENGTH—

LEARNED SUPPORT—

WAITING FOR 10:00

No entry call is issued before the data gate opens.

DYNAMIC RISK EXIT / STOP ZONES

SET TARGET

Risk levels will mirror the favored ABOVE/BELOW thesis.

WAITING

LEVEL 1 • CAUTION — —

LEVEL 2 • PROTECTIVE EXIT — —

LEVEL 3 • HARD EXIT — —

ADVERSE ANCHOR—

REMAINING σ—

NEAREST STRUCTURE—

THESIS PROBABILITY—

These model-generated levels tighten with remaining-time volatility and nearby market structure.

SELF-LEARNING TARGET MEMORY

Wins + losses become future evidence

0 CASES

RESOLVED0

WINS0

LOSSES0

ACCURACY—

SIMILAR-CASE ALGORITHM No learned adjustment yet.

The learner activates after resolved target cases accumulate.

10M ENTRY WINS0

10M ENTRY LOSSES0

10M ENTRY ACC.—

ENTRY SAMPLE0

SIMILAR CASES0

HIST. ABOVE—

AVG ERROR—

LEARN WEIGHT0%

RECENT RESOLVED TARGETS

WHY ABOVE / WHY BELOW

Live evidence for the target

CURRENT READ Set a target to generate evidence.

Confidence — Data quality —

WHY ABOVE IS POSSIBLE

WHY BELOW IS POSSIBLE

COPY-READY DATA BLOCK

Waiting for live data and a target price.

MEASURED PERFORMANCE

RESOLVED0

DIRECTION—

HIGH CONF.—

RETURN MAE—

1m candles loaded0

Model warm-up0%

Last update—

Live price source—

Price feed age—

Authority lock age—

REST consensus—

The local adaptive ensemble changes expert weights based on resolved 15-minute forecasts stored on this iPhone.

SIGNAL RULES

BUYbullish edge + confidence

BUYupside side selected

SELLdownside side selected

The bot always outputs BUY or SELL. Signal strength tells you whether the edge is weak, moderate, or strong; low-strength calls should be treated as low-confidence model output.

PC + iOS UNIVERSAL MODE

Runs directly in Safari on iPhone/iPad and modern desktop browsers on Windows/macOS. The live BTC display prioritizes fresh Coinbase/Kraken spot quotes and rejects stale/outlier exchange packets. No Python server, exchange account, API key, or trading connection is required. Forecast history stays in the current browser. iOS may suspend WebSockets when the app is closed or left in the background, so the engine refreshes and reconnects when you reopen it.